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ARMs Are Much Less Expensive Than Fixed Rate Mortgages Lately

The interest rate differential between a 30-year fixed rate mortgage and a 5-year adjustable-rate mortgage is growing.

An economic recession is expected to damage the economy over the near-term and so mortgage rates tied to that same time frame are falling.

This includes ARMs with initial fixed periods of 1-5 years.

Meanwhile, the cumulative impact of Fed Funds Rate cuts and the stimulus package are expected to stoke U.S. inflation over the longer-term.

Therefore, mortgage rates tied to longer-term maturities are rising. This includes the 30-year fixed rate mortgage.

The spread between the 30-year fixed rate and the 5-year ARM had been as wide as 1.250% this week before settling closer to 1.000%.

This past summer, the two products had carried identical rates on occasion.

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