Archive for March, 2009
Tuesday, March 31st, 2009
With mortgage rates are hovering near all-time lows, lots of Americans are taking advantage of refinance and home buying opportunities.
The downside of today’s unexpectedly-low rates, though, is that mortgage lenders are ill-equipped for the rush of new business.
As a result, the process of underwriting and approving new mortgage applications is taking some conforming lenders as long as 2 months to complete.
This is double the time needed as recently as six months ago.
Because there may be 60 days between the application date and the closing date, it’s important for applicants to remember that mortgage approvals can be revoked at any time prior to funding.
As mortgage applicants, there are many events that are out of our control — job security and health matters, for example. But there are also events that are within our control.
Knowing that mortgage approvals can be fragile, here are 8 things you should absolutely not do while your home loan is in process. It may be the difference between being approved by the bank, and being turned down.
- Don’t buy a new car or trade-up to a bigger lease.
- Don’t quit your job to change industries
- Don’t switch from a salaried job to a heavily-commissioned job
- Don’t transfer large sums of money between bank accounts
- Don’t forget to pay your bills — even the ones in dispute
- Don’t open new credit cards — even if you’re getting 20% off
- Don’t accept a cash gift without filing the proper “gift” paperwork
- Don’t make random, undocumented deposits into your bank account
Now, avoiding these items may not be practical for everyone. For example, if your car lease is expiring and you need a larger vehicle, it doesn’t mean you can’t buy the car — just check with your loan officer first to be sure the new payments won’t “break” your approval.
The same goes for accepting cash gifts from parents. There’s a right way and a wrong way to accept gifts and doing it the wrong way may prevent you from using the gift as a source of downpayment.
Mortgage lending is full of “gotchas” and with underwriting times stretching to 60 days, it’s a lot more likely that a mortgage applicant will trip into one. Following these 8 rules, though, is a good start.
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Monday, March 30th, 2009

Lead and other toxic metals are in the products we use everyday and the surfaces with which we come into contact. Lightbulbs, for example, or painted window sills.
Unfortunately, washing your hands with soap and water — even with the use of a disinfectant — doesn’t cleanse you of dangerous lead dust.
Instead, a heavy-duty wipe like Hygenall is required.
Hygenall is a cleansing wipe that removes metal oxides from the skin’s surface, including lead. The wipe creates a specially-formulated lather that traps heavy metals and pulls them away from the skin.
The Hygenall website recommends its lead-remover for a wide group of people including:
- Pregnant mothers
- Children in daycare
- Sportsmen, policemen and others weapon-handlers
- Construction workers
In addition, the site links to numerous lead poisoning studies including one that references “take-home” lead — the scenario in which a working parent in one of 100 industries is exposed to lead at work and introduces lead dust into the home.
Hygenall doesn’t cure lead poisoning, but it may go a long way toward preventing it — including contaminating a person’s home.
Buy Hygenall in a 3-pack for cheap at Amazon.com.
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Friday, March 27th, 2009
If you’re in want of a cash out refinance, the most liberal cash-out program in town is about to make qualification more difficult.
Effective April 1, 2009, the FHA is reducing the maximum loan-to-value on cash-out refinances by 10 percent, dropping the loan size limit from 95% of the home’s value to 85%.
In its official press release, the FHA days it’s making the change to “limit its exposure to undue risk”.
It also lists the following cash-out requirements:
- With less than 12 months since the purchase date, a home’s value cannot exceed its original purchase price — even if home improvements were made.
- A homeowner must be current on his mortgage payments to qualify
- A second, verifying appraisal may be necessary, depending on loan traits
- Co-signers may not be added to the mortgage note in order to qualify
The last day to register a FHA 95% cash out refinance is Tuesday, March 31, 2009. The loan does not need to be “locked” — only registered.
So, if you know that a 95% cash out FHA refinance is in your future, talk to your loan officer before Wednesday morning about registration.
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Thursday, March 26th, 2009
The national housing market got its third piece of good news in 3 days:
And although national real estate statistics are irrelevant to the local markets in which real estate transactions happen, to a country of would-be and wanna-be home buyers, repeated positive news on housing can be a strong signal that it’s time to get off the sidelines.
At least, that’s what the data is showing us. According to an industry trade group, first-time home buyers accounted for half of all sales of previously-owned homes.
The stimulus package’s $8,000 tax credit likely played a role in this 50 percent figure, as well as sagging home prices in most markets and low mortgage rates nationwide.
But lest we carried away, we can’t forget that February’s New Home Sales is still the second-lowest tally on record and that two months of data doesn’t define “turnaround”.
On the other hand, if the trend continues through the Spring Buying Season, we’ll likely look back at Winter 2009 as the low point in housing.
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Wednesday, March 25th, 2009
Don’t look now but oil prices are climbing.
This should worry today’s home buyers and would-be refinancers because some of the same forces that helped to push crude past $50 for the first time in 4 months also cause mortgage rates to rise.
March 18, the Federal Reserve committed an additional $1.15 trillion to support the economy.
Since the announcement, investors have questioned whether the Fed is purposefully spurring inflation. The Fed’s total debt purchases now total $1.75 trillion.
And to finance its purchases, the Federal Reserve is printing new money, devaluing the U.S. dollar along the way. This then leads to inflation which, all things equal, causes oil prices to rise, gas prices to rise, and mortgage rates to go with them.
As we’ve seen the last few summers, oil prices and mortgages seem to touch their yearly high points while the weather is warmest.
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Tuesday, March 24th, 2009
Each month, the National Association of REALTORS® releases the Existing Home Sales report. It’s a detailed look at “used” home sale data from all four regions of the country.
Among the key findings of each Existing Home Sales report is something called the “median sales price”, the statistical price point at which half of the homes in the U.S. sold for more, and half sold for less.
Last month, the median sales price in the United States fell to $165,400, down 15.5 percent from a year ago.
Nevertheless, just because the median sales price is lower from last year doesn’t mean that the housing market is losing steam. The median sales price is just the middle point of all home sales in all U.S. markets. By definition, it groups New York City and Danville, Illinois; Los Angeles and Cheyenne — markets that have little do with one another.
When median sales prices are falling, it doesn’t point to housing weakness, per se — just that more homes are selling at the lower end of the pricing spectrum than at the higher end.
Going forward, it’s believed that a reduction in home supplies is the key to a complete, national housing recovery. It’s encouraging, therefore, in a month known for a high volume of new listings, that the number of homes sold kept pace with the number of new homes available for sale.
The current housing inventory stands at 9.7 months, flat from January.
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Monday, March 23rd, 2009
With the official start of Spring last week comes the official start of Spring Cleaning Season nationwide.
In some homes, Spring Cleaning is an annual ritual, tackled within one sweat-filled, rubber-gloved weekend. In other homes, it’s a less serious endeavor.
Either way, it helps to have a game plan.
Courtesy of Martha Stewart’s website, the Spring Cleaning Organizer is a 9-step checklist covering all of the basics.
- Clean shades and windows
- Sort through wardrobes
- Clean and rotate mattresses and cushions
Most of the checklist items can be retired with household cleansers and vacuums. A few, however, require heavy-duty appliances that you may not have at-home. For example, cleaning carpets and rugs is best-handled with a steam cleaner; and, washing windows may be too dangerous, depending on your home.
If you don’t want to rent cleaning equipment from your local hardware store just for Spring Cleaning, consider hiring an Angie’s List contractor to do the job for you. It will cost more money than doing it yourself, but the job will get done right (and your home will be clean).
The Spring Cleaning checklist also reminds homeowners to check the batteries of in-home safety devices like smoke alarms, carbon monoxide detectors, and flashlights.
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Friday, March 20th, 2009
For the fifth time in a year, rate shoppers learned an important lesson this week: When mortgage rates plummet unexpectedly, they often recover just as fast.
Wednesday, the Federal Reserve’s newest $750 billion mortgage market pledge helped to push conforming mortgage rates near their lowest levels since WWII.
24 hours later, however, those rates were expired.
After considering the long-term implications of the Federal Reserve — literally — printing new money to service the recession, markets grew fearful that the Fed’s interventions will eventually lead to inflation. Inflation, of course, is the enemy of mortgage rates.
So, if you’re looking for the explanation of why rates rose as suddenly Thursday as they fell the day prior, this is it. And, in hindsight, rate shoppers might have seen it coming, if only because we’ve seen the exact pattern 4 other times:
- After the Fed’s “surprise” rate cut in January 2008
- After the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac takeovers in September 2008
- After the Fed announced its first $500 in support in November 2008
- After the Fed zeroed out the Fed Funds Rate in December 2008
Sharp drops in mortgage rate, it seems, are followed by immediate bounce-backs.
Unfortunately, not every would-be refinancing homeowner saw the increase coming. People that locked Wednesday captured the lowest rates in 6 decades. Everyone else wishes they had.
From day-to-day, we don’t know if mortgage rates will rise or fall. Nobody knows that. But, we do know that mortgage rates tend to follow patterns and we’ve seen the above pattern 5 times now.
When mortgage rates plunge like they did Wednesday, they rarely low for long. When you find a rate you like, get in and get locked as soon as possible. By tomorrow, it’s likely to be gone.
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Thursday, March 19th, 2009
The Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate unchanged today, within the target range of 0.000-0.250 percent. This doesn’t mean the Fed stood pat, however.
On plan to resurrect the economy using “all available tools”, today, the Fed announced a new, $1.5 trillion round of fiscal support for the treasury and mortgage markets.
The stimulus will likely be Thursday morning’s headline story.
In its press release, the FOMC touched upon a few of the prevailing economic issues, using these points as a legitimizing backdrop for its newest debt load:
- Job losses and wealth loss are dragging down consumer spending
- Some U.S. trading partners are falling into recession
- Businesses are cutting back on investment and inventory
Of interest is that the FOMC said today’s inflation levels may be too low to support economic growth at all. This condition is more commonly called deflation. The Fed’s latest actions, therefore, may be a deliberate attempt to induce inflation through unprecedented borrowing.
For home buyers and potential refinancers, this is terrific news — at least in the short-term. By introducing new demand for mortgage bonds, the Fed will help pressure mortgage rates lower. Already this afternoon, mortgage rates fell and they will continue to fall until the market reaches a new equlibrium.
After the Fed’s last intervention, markets reached their balance point in about a day-and-a-half.
Source Parsing the Fed Statement The Wall Street Journal Online March 18, 2009 http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-fedparse0903.html
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Wednesday, March 18th, 2009
There’s a mixed message in February’s Housing Starts data and it may be a good sign for home sellers in the near-term.
As reported by the government, new home construction rose by 22 percent last month. The press is running with the headline number, calling it evidence of a market bottom.
A more thorough inspection, however, reveals a different story.
The 22 percent figure applies to all homes built — including apartment building units. Isolating residential units, February’s housing starts rose by just 1 percent. Furthermore, the data’s margin of error is 11 percent.
Statistically, we can’t know if residential housing starts really rose last month, or if it fell instead. What we do know, though, is that the number of building permit requests rose.
Permits to build single-family homes were up 11 percent in February nationwide.
To home sellers, the rise in building permits may confirm that a housing market turnaround is already underway. Builders wouldn’t be putting new inventory on the market, after all, without being sure of their ability to sell it 9 months hence.
The headline figure of 22 percent is attractive, but it’s not completely honest. It’s not the number of housing starts that matter so much right now as the number of housing permits. A rise in permits signals that homebuilders — a group that’s lost a lot of money in the last 2 years — think the worst of housing is already over.
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Tuesday, March 17th, 2009
The Federal Open Market Committee begins a scheduled, 2-day meeting today to discuss the country’s monetary policy. As is custom, the group will issue a press release to the markets upon adjournment.
There are 8 scheduled FOMC get-togethers annually and the post-meeting press releases are among the most powerful market-moving events of the year.
It’s not the Fed’s actual policy changes that causes fortunes to be won or lost, though.
These changes can predicted and traded — and, therefore, hedged — on Wall Street using Fed Funds Rate Futures. For example, Wall Street predicts with 97% certainty that the Federal Reserve will not make a policy change at this time.
As opposed to than policy change, it’s the verbiage of the FOMC’s press release that can really move markets. This is because the press release is a clear-eyed look into what the Federal Reserve thinks of the United States economy — its strengths, its weaknesses, and its threats.
After its January 2009 meeting, the FOMC’s press release said:
- The economy has weakened further
- Employment has declined steeply
- A gradual recovery may come later in 2009
Since that meeting, though, a number of high-profile economists, including Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, have said the likelihood of economic recovery increased for late-2009.
This is why tomorrow’s FOMC press release is so important. It will contain clues about the Federal Reserve’s next steps and current psyche. Undoubtedly, it will make a significant impact on the mortgage markets.
In general, when the Fed alludes to inflation and stronger growth, mortgage rates rise. Talk of a recovering economy and rising oil prices in tomorrow’s press release, therefore, would likely raise rates from their current low levels towards levels not seen for 6 months.
In the end, it’s what the Fed says that matters more than what the Fed does. The FOMC is expected to leave the Fed Funds Rate within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.
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Monday, March 16th, 2009
If you’re not rotating your mattress every 3 months, you may be shortening its lifespan. Constant nightly pressure can “wear out” the areas on which you sleep, creating in-bed divots and reducing your sleeping comfort.
The ExpertVillage.com video above — “How To Flip a Mattress” — is pretty self-explanatory. But there’s a few other steps you can take to protect your bed and your health.
First, consider the use of a mattress cover. A mattress cover protects against spills and stains and can stop liquids from dripping inside of the mattress itself. Mattress covers are marked down 43% at Amazon.com right now and can be purchased for cheap at Bed Bath and Beyond, too.
Second, each time you change your sheets, remember to vacuum the mattress surface. A thorough cleaning will reduce the number of allergens and mites living on your bed, promoting better health hygiene.
And lastly, remember to occasionally apply an upholstery-grade cleaner to your mattress for stubborn stains or soilage. Using this particular type of cleaner is important because the product is meant to be near human skin. This is different from, say, carpet cleaner.
A good mattress can be expensive. Extending its usable life is not.
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Friday, March 13th, 2009
“Most of the biggest real estate fortunes were not made in good times, but in bad times like this” Barbara Corcoran reminds us in this talk with NBC.
It’s important perspective for Americans wondering how to invest in foreclosed properties without losing their cash or their credit rating.
In the 4-minute interview, Corcoran quips on the basics and the essentials of foreclosure investing,
- “Everyone who loses their shirt loses it somewhere else.”
- “Every big shark started small.”
- “The house on the corner sets the tone for the block.”
She also lends some personal perspective to rent rolls, the cost of losing a tenant, and finding a good business partner.
Banks are anxious to sell their foreclosed homes and that makes this an ideal time for shrewd real estate investors. If you’re new to the game, watch the video and take good notes.
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Thursday, March 12th, 2009
You know you’re in the middle of an economic crisis when an accounting issue become Front Page News, and that’s exactly where we’re at today.
Mark-to-market accounting is having its day in the sun and people in need of mortgage sometime soon would do well to pay attention.
If you’ve never heard of mark-to-market accounting, don’t worry. Not many people have. Mark-to-market is a method of valuing an asset based on its what-if-it-was-sold-today value. Mark-to-market is officially known as FASB Statement 157.
Mark-to-market is one reason why bank balance sheets look so awful right now. Banks have to assign firesale-like values to their mortgage-backed assets even if those loans are performing, and even if there’s no plans to sell them. Assigning low values to assets, then, in turn, forces the banks to seek TARP funds and take other measures to solidify their mandated capital requirments.
Wall Street and Washington are taking notice of mark-to-market’s impact on banking and, by extension, the economy. Even Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has expressed an interest in opening a dialogue about the matter.
So, today, starting at 10:00 AM ET, the House Committee on Financial Services meets with key members of the Securities and Exchange Commission, the Treasury, and the Financial Accounting and Standards Board to talk about mark-to-market accounting and whether it should be modified.
It’s unlikely that change will come immediately, but if enough evidence shows that mark-to-market is unduly damaging to the economy, expect changes to the way we value banks to happen soon.
For homeowners and home buyer, a reversal in mark-to-market rules would be a bad thing. Almost overnight, bank balance sheets would recapitalize and the economy would spring forward. This would reverse most of the pressures that have held mortgage rates low for so many months.
A healthy economy, in other words, may be bad for mortgage rates.
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Wednesday, March 11th, 2009
The basis of most mortgage lending is credit scoring. In general, the higher a person’s credit score, the lower his offered mortgage interest rate.
Despite the many credit scoring models in use today, however, just 3 are relevant to American homeowners:
- The Equifax BEACON® score
- The Experian Fair Isaac Risk Model
- The TransUnion EMPIRICA®
Generically, these scoring models generate what are commonly known as “FICO” scores.
FICO scores are measurements of probability. The higher a person’s credit score, by definition, the less likely a person is to default on his home loan. This is one reason why credit scoring has added importance lately — mortgage lenders are very careful about what they’re lending and to whom.
Notably, minimum FICO thresholds have been added to all types of mortgage loans.
FICO scoring has 5 main components as listed above. Payment history and credit capacity are two of the largest pieces, but a myriad of other factors contribute to a credit score, too. For example, the longer your reported history of managing credit, the more favorably your credit score will respond.
The myFICO.com website does a terrific job with credit education , explaining in plain language the ins-and-out of credit scoring and ways to boost your score. It also makes a free, 20-page PDF available for download.
Whether you’re a homeowner or lifetime renter — consider it required reading.
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